There are people who are overly obsessed with fundamental analysis. They analyze everything and become paralyzed. For me, I only want to be a trader or private investor. I have small capital and not interested to own the company (as with Warren Buffett). My goal is to ride on the price movement. So, I only do superficial fundamental analysis. I look at basic numbers as in profit trends, margin trends, NAV, Liability vs Assets, EPS and cash flow statement. I will also look into the sector and general market conditions. I based my decision mainly on my technical analysis.
It is common to have bought into a company with good fundamentals and yet the stock price drop and stay depressed for a long time. If your aim is to own a company, that is OK. You don't sell it. It will eventually come around but may take 2-3 years especially very small cap stock.
Most people overlook on key aspect of Fundamental Analysis which is "unusual events". For example, if someone where to invest in a company in Indonesia that produces Palm Oil and has vast plantation in Sumatra. With all the favorable fundamentals, one would expect the company to increase profits every year. However, if an earth quake occurs and a tsunami wipe away half of their plantation, the company will be in trouble. The profit will be wipe out.
As a trader or investor, we can't be an expert in every field that we invest in. For those who want to rely heavily on fundamental analysis, they may want to choose to invest only in certain sectors where they can be expert in that sector.
This web log was initially created for people who trade Singapore Stocks over "weekends". It has now evolved into real trading logs and analysis of market and stock situations using technical analysis. This becomes a record of my trading and lessons learned from trading. For more trading lessons please visit: Good Investing Lessons or Good Investing Lessons (Old)
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
Learn More About Stock Trading
Google News - Business
Bloomberg
Yahoo! News: Business
Reuters: Top News
About Me
- ES Sei
- I'd like to share my experiences and knowledge about healthy and happy living as well as mid-life crisis. 不以物喜,不以己悲。
No comments:
Post a Comment